Kaitlin wrote:Glaucon wrote:As for the 'lead' of Obama: You are right, Mat. If you look at the battle over swing-states, Obama is actually quite firmly in the lead. But as long as the general polls indicate it is pretty close, Romney just needs to climb a few points to change that, make swing states flip to his side.
Also, the 'general polls' matter because they are news, part of the political narrative. People like 'winners' and a candidate doing well in polls has wind in his sails.
Mat? He hasn't gone that far over to the dark side. The general polls actually do show a pretty decisive lead that has increased after narrowing to head to head if you remove Rasmussen. Even the Fox News poll has Obama leading by 9%. I'll just hope they put Ann Coulter back on...it should jump a point or two higher.
In a country so evenly divided along party lines anything beyond 2-3% is a sizable lead.
Kaitlin wrote:To add a bit more perspective...
Obama vs Romney
8/10/2012 48.4 44.0
Obama vs McCain
8/10/2008 46.6 42.2
Maybe the polls just like this 4.4% spread on this day of the election cycle
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